Marketa Vondrousova vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Vondrousova's recent second serve performance trails slightly behind Keys, with 41.21% of points won compared to Keys' 42.52%.
• In return games, Vondrousova excels by winning 53.7% of opponents' second serve points, overshadowing Keys who wins 48.91%.
• Vondrousova also outperforms Keys in first serve return points, winning 34.51% compared to 29.94%.
• Under pressure, Keys saves 53.64% of breakpoints, surpassing Vondrousova's 44.04% save rate.
• Considering performance in the past year, Keys has a superior win/loss ratio of 73.08% compared to Vondrousova's 46.15%.
• What surfaces do both players excel on? Vondrousova is strongest on indoor hard courts with an 81% win rate, whereas Keys excels on grass with a 72% success rate.
• In high-stakes matches, Keys has shown great form by securing 84.21% of Grand Slam matches compared to Vondrousova's 50% Main tour success.
• In their singular head-to-head match, Keys emerged victorious, winning in straight sets at the U.S. Open.
• What happens if the match goes the distance? Historically, Keys wins more deciding sets, with a 69% win rate compared to Vondrousova's 40%.
• In terms of opponent quality over the last year, Keys has faced tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 43.69 versus Vondrousova's 47.
• Both display similar efficiency in breakpoint conversion with Vondrousova at 37.89% and Keys closely behind at 36.17%.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming matchup features Vondrousova and Keys, two players with distinct strengths. Vondrousova displays remarkable proficiency when returning serves, particularly excelling against both first and second serves.

Conversely, Keys demonstrates a notable capacity to handle pressure, evidenced by superior breakpoint save rates. This skill set has been reflected in her more successful win/loss record and ability to close critical matches.

Historically, Keys holds the edge with a prior head-to-head victory and the capability to perform well on grand stages. The lack of past deciding sets between them means it is difficult to predict exactly how either might fare if the match extends.

Given these observations, Madison Keys is poised as the likely favorite to win this match, leveraging her consistent form and past successes against Vondrousova.